Friday, November 5, 2021

2021 Third Quarter Up From Third Quarter of 2020 For the NAHB/Royal Building Products Remodeling Market Index (RMI)

 


The remodeling industry confidence has seen an improvement year over year when it comes to home remodeling. The National Association of Home Builders just put out its NAHB/Royal Building Products Remodeling Market Index (RMI) for the third quarter which saw a reading of 87. This is five points above the reading of the third quarter in 2020.

“Demand for remodeling remains strong, and remodelers are doing quite well as long as they can adequately deal with material and labor shortages,” said NAHB Remodelers Chair Steve Cunningham, CAPS, CGP, a remodeler from Williamsburg, Va. “So far, a substantial share of their customers have been willing and able to tolerate the extra cost and delays of requested remodeling projects.”

The RMI was changed in 2020 in response to a need to "improve its ability to interpret and track industry trends." Seasonally adjust quarter to quarter data cannot be compared due to the redesign. The quarterly data is gathered now by asking remodelers to compare the market conditions during the survey quarter as better, about the same or worse. Interestingly enough, 78% of those who answered the survey rated the current market about the same.

The Current Conditions Index also came up with an increase from 2020. The third quarter of 2021 averaged 90 which is a four-point increase from the third quarter of 2020. Each component compared had an increase. These components include large remodeling projects ($50,000 or more) rose six points to 86, moderately-sized remodeling projects (at least $20,000 but less than $50,000) increased five points to 91 and small remodeling projects (under $20,000) inched up one point to 91.

The Future Indicator Index was up seven points from the third quarter of 2020 at an average of 84 in the third quarter of 2021. The components measured in this index are the current rate at which leads and inquiries are coming and the backlog of remodeling jobs. The leads and inquiries rose to 83 points and the backlog rose to 85 points.

“We are seeing strong demand and continued optimism in the residential remodeling market, despite the fact that supply constraints are severe and widespread,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “For example, well over 90% of remodelers in the third quarter RMI survey reported a shortage of carpenters. And 57% of remodelers reported having slightly raised prices for projects over the last six months, with another 28% indicating a significant increase in price, due in part to higher material costs and ongoing strong demand. Half of these remodelers reported some pricing out of demand due to higher prices for remodeling projects.”

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