Overall we have seen across the county that single-family housing starts have slowed this year. In fact, the largest drop (percentage basis) has been seen in the larger populated areas. The hugest decrease was seen in the large metro-outlying counties which went from 23.6% in 2021 to -12.1% in 2022. Multi-family growth has been on the rise everywhere except highly densely populated areas according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Home Building Geography Index (HBGI).
We have seen changes since the pandemic in single-family marketing. A lot of people have been moving out of densely populated urban areas due to the pandemic. From the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2022, we saw a huge increase in Micro Counties from 6.0% to 7.4%. The biggest loss was in large metro-core counties which went from 18.4% to 16.0%.
Multi-family has remained in the positive and is above historical levels. In fact, six of the seven submarkets had growth above 15.0% during the last quarter of 2022. The smallest growth rate was seen in large metro-outlying counties which went to 35.7%. The trend is the same as single-family construction where even though it is still positive, there has been a drop since the fourth quarter of 2019. In fact, Large Metro-Core Counties went from 41.7% in 2019 to 36.7% in 2022.
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