A Gain in Single-Family Starts Seen in May

 The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau’s data shows a positive outlook when it comes to single-family starts. A good part of this is to give credit to limited existing inventory and improving supply chains.

May saw an increase of 21.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.63 million units.The May reading of 1.63 million starts is the number of housing units builders would begin if development kept this pace for the next 12 months. This caused the single-family starts to increase 18.5% which is still 6.6% lower than seen a year ago.

According to a NAHB/Wells Fargo HMI survey, builder confidence and housing starts are improving because of improvements to the supply chain. The start of the year though still puts it down 24% on a year-to-year basis. Single-family completions are only down 1.2% which is good news for the inflation.

Even though on a regional and year-to-date basis it is down in all four regions overall permits increased. Each region came out as 21.7% lower in the Northeast, 24.7% lower in the Midwest, 16.5% lower in the South and 24.1% lower in the West. Permits went up 5.2% to a 1.49 million unit, single-family up 4.8% to and 897,000 unit rate, and multi-family up 5.9% to an annualized 594,000 pace.

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Better Affordability Brings More Buyers

 The first quarter of 2023 saw 56% of prospective home buyers actively in the process of purchasing a home. This is up from the fourth quarter of 2022 at 46%. This is due to the improved affordability expectations.

With the improved affordability, buyer demand is up as well as the competition. Unfortunately, this leads to potential buyers having a harder time finding the home of their dreams. In fact, 71% have spent 3+ months searching for a new home which was up from the 65% reported in the fourth quarter of 2022.

As for each region, the number of prospective buyers actively looking for a home rose in every region in the first quarter of 2023. The Northeast went from 50% to 63%, Midwest from 42% to 45%, the South from 47% to 51% and the West from 44% to 66%.

These results are derived from the Housing Trends Report (HTR). This report is produced by the National Association of Home Builders’ Economics team. The team measures prospective home buyers’ perceptions about the affordability and availability of homes for sale in their market. The Housing Trends Report runs every quarter to track changes in buyer’s perceptions over time.

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Factors That Help Determine Your Mortgage Rate

 The lower the interest rate, the more you can spend on a new home but 2023 is seeing a rise in the rates. If you are in the market for a new home, you want to lock in the lowest rate possible. Trusted lenders are a great resource to have when it comes to your mortgage rate. Here are four things that will help determine your mortgage rate.

Your Credit Score

“When you build and maintain strong credit, mortgage lenders have greater confidence when qualifying you for a mortgage because they see that you’ve paid back your loans as agreed and used your credit wisely. Strong credit also means your lender is more apt to approve you for a mortgage that has more favorable terms and a lower interest rate,” explains Freddie Mac.

A better credit score leads to a lower mortgage rate so you want to make sure you keep a good credit score. If your score needs improving, a lender can help with advice on how to best do this so that when it comes time to get approved, you will get the best rate.

Your Loan Type

“There are several broad categories of mortgage loans, such as conventional, FHA, USDA, and VA loans. Lenders decide which products to offer, and loan types have different eligibility requirements. Rates can be significantly different depending on what loan type you choose,” comments Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.

Keep in mind that there are several types of loans and each loan will offer different terms for each qualified buyer. When looking into a loan, contact your local real estate advisor who can tell you what is available in your specific area and which types of loans it looks like you would qualify for.

Your Loan Term

Just like a loan type, there are also different loan terms that are available. These can all be different according to your situation and the life of your loan.

“When choosing the right home loan for you, it’s important to consider the loan term, which is the length of time it will take you to repay your loan before you fully own your home. Your loan term will affect your interest rate, monthly payment, and the total amount of interest you will pay over the life of the loan,” according to Freddie Mac.

Your Down Payment

“In general, a larger down payment means a lower interest rate, because lenders see a lower level of risk when you have a more stake in the property. So if you can comfortably put 20 percent or more down, do it – you’ll usually get a lower interest rate,” explains the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.

If you are a homeowner and want to move, you can use the equity from the sale of your home as the down payment. A lender can help you determine the difference if you put a higher down payment down up front.

These are several factors that are looked at and will help with how much your mortgage rate will be. If you are searching for a home, go ahead and find a local sales agent and a local lender who can help you through the process.

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Homes Sales Are Rising But Still Below Pre-Pandemic Years

 There are many challenges when it comes to selling and buying a home, but today’s market is seeing a setback if you are a buyer. The reason for this is that there are so few homes on the market with too many potential buyers that are interested. If you are thinking about selling your home, now is the perfect opportunity.

“There are 65.5% more homes for sale in January compared to the same time in 2022. This means that there were 248,000 more homes available to buy this past month compared to one year ago. While the number of homes for sale is increasing, it is still 43.2% lower than it was before the pandemic in 2017 to 2019. This means that there are still fewer homes available to buy ona typical day than there were a few years ago,” according to Realtor.com‘s Monthly Housing Market Trends Report.

Active monthly listing counts for the last six Januarys show a big increase between 2022 and 2023. There is still a lag between what was reported in January 2018 versus what was reported this January so the market has not caught up to prepandmic levels. January 2018 listings were up to 1,042,660 on a monthly basis, in January 2019 they slightly increased to 109,507, January 2020 saw a drop to 953,045, January 2021 came in at 532,603, January 2022 decreased to 378,189 and jumped in January 2023 to 625,875.

If you are a potential seller, this is great news. Buyers have been frustrated with the low inventory and many gave up altogether. This has changed this spring due to the lowered interest rates, buyers are coming back to the market. “Home buyers are edging back into the market after being sidelined last year….,” reports the New York Times.

If you are thinking about selling your home, now is the time! Choose a local realtor who can help you with the sale of your home. A local agent knows the area and will help you get the best price from a trusted buyer.

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5 Tips On How To Get Your Dream Home

 Buying a home is an exciting life-changing event. There are so many things to consider from the perfect location to the perfect house. Here are five factors to consider when searching for a home.

1. Take Cost of Living Into Consideration

Different areas in your state or the country may cost more or cost less to live in. These costs include housing, food, utilities, healthcare, and transportation. You need to take this into consideration because this change in funds can affect the purchase price of your new home. There are tons of ways to research the cost of living in different areas.

2. Find a Suitable Climate

Consider weather conditions that you and your family will be comfortable in. You may never get snow where you live, but getting snow all winter might not adapt well to your living situation. Someone from the northwest might not like the warmer humid longer summers in the southeast.

3. Determine What’s Within Walking Distance

Many enjoy a walkable neighborhood where you can walk to eat, live and play. There are tons of ways to research the walkability report of a community that you are interested in. Before you choose a community, walk around it yourself to get a feel for the neighborhood.

4. Know If You Want Turnkey or a Fixer-Upper

Some homebuyers are great at DIY and others are not. Many want to put their stamp on the home in more ways than just designing a nice new home. Many homeowners love an old homes charm and character while others love the newness of new construction.

5. Figure Out the Financing

This is a super important step to take when it comes to buying a home. Both a lender and a realtor can help you with what type of mortgage is best for you. Remember that you will need a big chunk of change for closing costs and a down payment.

If you are thinking of purchasing a home, choose a realtor. A realtor can help you purchase a home and find the right home that would be perfect for you.

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New Home Construction Is Beginning To Pick Back Up

 Good news for the housing market, the new home building is starting to pick back up but builders are still frustrated. This fall we have seen an uptick in new home building even with the slower demand from new home buyers. Builder sentiment is still down though due to things like the high cost of building materials.

According to the US Census Bureau, August home starts for new home construction rose 12.2% from the previous month. This is still 1% down from August 2021 just a year ago. The home starts are still trying to catch up this fall from the big drop that was seen this spring. The housing starts have been holding steady up until about a month ago when they began to increase.

The increase is a plus for the housing market due to the low inventory that has disrupted the market for the past two years. The rise in home prices and bidding wars are part of the direct outcome of this shortage. ” The latest month’s increase is implying that builders still see profit opportunities even as they concede on prices,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors.

Multi-family projects have seen the biggest gain which jumped 30% from July, single-family homes only rose 3.4% from a month ago. Even with these increases, builders are still shy about being too optimistic of what the future holds. Building permits dropped 10% from the beginning of the summer and were down 14.4% from the same time last year. Surveys are still showing that builder confidence is still falling.

This fall is partly to be blamed on higher mortgage rates, supply chain problems and high home prices. “Buyer traffic is weak in many markets as more consumers remain on the sidelines due to high mortgage rates and home prices that are putting a new home purchase out of financial reach for many households,” said Jerry Konter, NAHB Chairman.

The National Association of Home Builders reports show that builder sentiment has gone down every month since 2022 and shows no signs of rising anytime soon. “Builders continue to grapple with elevated construction costs and an aggressive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve that helped push mortgage rates above 6% last week, the highest level since 2008,” according to Robert Dietz, NAHB Chief Economist.

“In this soft market, more than half of the builders in our survey reported using incentives to bolster sales, including mortgage rate buy downs, free amenities and price reductions,” said Dietz.

This is still not pushing home buyers back into the market. The study also shows that the cycle of homeowners moving up from a starter home is stalling due to the high prices and rising mortgage rates. First-time home buyers are also stalling and choosing to rent instead.

“Many potential ‘move-up’ buyers who would be likely candidates for high-priced new construction homes may also be weighing the benefits of remaining in their current home, where they likely have a mortgage rate less than half of today’s going rate – all factors that are contributing to a decline in housing mobility,’ said Kelly Mangold of RCLCO Real Estate Consulting.

The huge increase in multi-family buildings is due to the record high rents around the country. “Apartment demand has been strong, with rents rising at a historically high pace. Those consumers unable to qualify for a mortgage at higher interest rates are renewing their rental leases. Job creation is also boosting the rental demand,” stated Yun.

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Facts All Agents Should Know When It Comes to the Green House Market

 What are simple ways to make sure my new home is cared for?

-Focus on home decor that pulls double-duty
-Make sure your insurance protects your needs
-While you have a blank slate, create an organized foundation
-Learn climate-specific maintenance tips
-Add or update safety monitors
-Assess landscaping and head-off concerns
-Get to know your neighbors
-Put household check-ups on the schedule

Buying a new home is a big step in life and is both an exciting and nerve-wracking time. Many new homeowners feel very overwhelmed not with just the buying process but owning their own home and caring for it. In order to feel peace of mind, there are several things you can do to maintain your new home from the start.

1. Focus on home decor that pulls double-duty

When you start to move your belongings into your new house becomes your home. Remember to prioritize multi-functional products. For example, a nice ottoman can also act as a storage space. You want to limit the clutter from the beginning. Studies show that limiting excess items can boost your mental health. Not only can some things boost your mental health but your physical health as well. House plants are natural air purifiers. The snake plant takes indoor air and filters it by taking up to four toxins out of the air plus it changes carbon dioxide into oxygen.

2. Make sure your insurance protects your needs

When you are shopping around for home insurance, make sure that you choose a plan that fits your unique home's needs. If you have an expensive piano, you will want to make sure this is covered. There are many insurance companies where you can get a quote and a new policy online. You can also save if you bundle things such as your car and home insurance.

3. While you have a blank slate, create an organized foundation

Remember to make a plan for each item when moving all your stuff into your new home. If you are moving from another home you will be tempted to put everything in the same room it went in in the new home. Add things such as closet organizers before moving all your items into the closet, and racks in the garage.

4. Learn climate-specific maintenance tips

If you are moving from New York to Miami, it might be a good idea to study the average tips and weather for each season. In New York, you have to winterize your home, whereas in Miami you do not. You will need to look into different pest maintenance in the South.

5. Add or update safety monitors

A fire can happen anytime day or night so having a smoke and carbon monoxide detector can save a homeowner's life. These should be in every home. When installing, be sure to follow the installation guidelines. You want to make sure they are strategically placed throughout your house and always make sure to test them monthly. Another safety measure is to install a home-monitoring system or a burglar alarm.

6. Assess landscaping and head-off concerns

Tree branches hanging over your roof can be a hazard. A heavy tree branch can fall on a roof during bad weather or make a great extension for pests to enter a home. Look around your home and assess what would cause a threat to the exterior of the house or your property if a storm were to occur. The leading cause of homeowners' insurance claims is weather-related incidents.

7. Get to know your neighbors

It is always nice to know your neighbors but it can also have an advantage when it comes to safety. When you are away it is nice to have your neighbors that will keep an eye out on your place. Neighbors can also help with taking out your trash or bringing in the mail when you are out of town.

8. Put household check-ups on the schedule

Just like we need an annual check-up with the doctor, your home needs one as well. Put a household check-up on your calendar. Go around and look at what needs to be done every season. Check the landscaping, test the smoke detectors, make sure your HVAC filters are good and even take a minute to declutter.

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The Ins and Outs of Buying Land

 In general, most people know about buying a home and how the mortgage process works. When purchasing and financing land instead of a home there are some differences. The one thing that stays the same is the lender.

Finding a lender is usually a pretty easy task when it comes to buying a home, but this is not always the case when you look to buy land. First South Farm Credit, with locations in Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana has been in business for over one hundred years.

“When I talk to people, I find out that the hardest part for them is finding a lender who is willing to finance it. A bank, a credit union or a mortgage company doesn’t generally want to carry fixed rate land loans on their books for a long term. And if they do, you will likely see a higher down payment and interest rates and you will often be looking at an ARM or other unfavorable terms,” Daily Thomas who is a vice president and branch manage said. “At First South, land financing is what we do all day, every day and we try to make it as easy and convenient as we can.”

If you are considering purchasing land and using a lender such as First South Farm Credit, you will need to have at least 15% to put down. A good bit of the time you might need more depending on the terms. You can choose a five to thirty-year fixed rate loan or balloon note. A balloon note would be used if you would want to build on your land in the future, and once you start construction, you would roll the balloon note into a different loan. Remember that your interest rate will depend on your credit, the type of loan you are qualified for, the down payment you have and the overall market.

Just like with purchasing a home, it takes time if you do things right up front. If you rush just to get a faster closing, you might miss something or have a big problem come up. The typical time for closing when there is no appraisal is around 30 days, and around 45 days if an appraisal is required.

“That being said, my rule of thumb is that we can close within 30 days when an appraisal is not required and 45 days when it is, assuming there are no other issues, such as problems with the title, the need for a survey, etc. Some of that we can’t control,” Thomas further stated.

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The 2022 Housing Market and How Interest Rates Will Change It

 For the past few years, the housing market has seen historically low-interest rates but this might change. Sources report that we will be faced with rising interest rates throughout 2022. Here are some tips that professionals in the industry look at when determining the change housing market.

This year the market is starting to slow down on refinancing and pick back up with purchasing housing. The 30-year loan average interest rate jumped from 3.5% to 3.64% in just two weeks int the beginning of the year. Home prices also increased close to 8% due to the fear rates will start to rise.

Fortunately, we no longer have stay-at-home orders and the unemployment rates are down 2.8% from this time last year. More homes are being built so the low inventory problem is resolving. Data shows that there is a 34% increase in new homes being built across the country. Job security and more inventory should encourage hopeful homebuyers.

The shift in remove work has also changed what homebuyers deem important in a home. As of September 2021, 45% of full-time employees worked remotely. More people are looking for a single-family home with more bedrooms and a finished basement.

The 2022 market is looking good. Just because interest rates are rising, doesn't mean now is not a good time to purchase a home. There are many factors that come into play that help balance the housing market event with high home prices and rising interest rates.

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Private Residential Construction Spending Up

The NAHB analysis of Census Construction Spending reported a 1.1 increase in total private residential construction spending in December 2021. November 2021 also reported an increase of 0.7%, in fact, total private residential construction spending was 15% higher than reported at the same time last year. Spending was reported at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $810.3 billion.

The growth rates are due to the solid growth of spending on single-family and multifamily construction. Monthly gains in single-family construction rose 2.1% to a $435 billion annual pace in December 2021. As for multifamily construction, there was a 0.4% increase in December 2021. Spending was a little down because of the supply chain issues and labor shortages.

Private nonresidential construction spending stayed steady during December 2021. The data shows that the spending was 9.1% higher than a year ago. As far as the separate spending in each category was $0.49 billion in office, $0.4 billion in amusement and recreation and $0.37 billion in lodging.

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2021 Third Quarter Sees A Strong Boost In the Vacation Home Market

 

The NAHB Home Building Geography Index (HBGI) released in December 2021 shows an increase in permits for second homes. The counties in the country with a high ratio of vacation homes have seen a big spike.

“Over the last year, second-home markets have increased their market shares, due to increases in hybrid work arrangements, early retirements and wealth gains in housing and stocks,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz.

New construction growth has taken off in the second home market. The growth rate for single-family homes in the second home market was 36.1%, this is a rise compared to the non-second home market average of 23.2%.

In the past year, the housing market for single-family homes has been booming in suburban areas. The report shows that the higher density markets are coming back. This is not the case in the multifamily construction sector. Permits for multifamily projects were higher in smaller cities and rural areas than in larger metropolitan areas.

“As more workers transitioned back to the workplace, there was a rebound for housing production in urban core markets, as well as ongoing growth in exurban areas,” said NAHB Chairman Chuck Fowke. “And while builders are still grappling with affordability headwinds in both small and large markets, this rebound in housing production in some higher density markets where building is more costly highlights the need for policymakers to reduce housing supply barriers that are driving up home prices.”

“Although all geographies are showing construction growth, the suburban shift is less pronounced than we’ve seen in prior quarters as some higher-density markets see a rebound even as exurbs continue to expand,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz.

Single-family permit growth data for the third quarter of 2019 and 2020 was 5.6% in large metro communities while it was 12.3% in the suburbs. The current report for the fourth quarter of 2020 and 2021 shows an increase of 21.1% in large metro markets and a 30.8% increase in the suburbs.

For multifamily permits, the 2020 and 2021 data show they fell from 40.5% to 37.9% in higher density markets while they rose from 24.9% to 37.2% in the smaller communities. This is a large shift in this market. Historically, year-to-year changes in multifamily market share are usually slow to develop and rarely move more than one percentage point higher or lower. This makes these latest year-over-year numbers noteworthy.

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Third Quarter 2021 Reaches a 13-Year High for Conventional Loan Share of New Home Sales

 

The National Association of Home Builders shared that 75.5% of new home sales that were recorded in the 2021 third quarter was the largest share seen since the first of the 2008 Great Recession. The data comes from the U.S. Census Bureau's Quarterly Sales by Price and Financing.

The Quarterly Sales by Price and Financing reports are surveys of New Residential Sales that are done every March, June, September and December. These are tables that are published through the U.S. Census Bureau.

This record share saw an increase of 1.7 percentage points over 2021 2nd Quarter and has kept rising for the last three quarters. This has shown an increase of 6.9 percentage points since Q4 2021.

As for sales backed by conventional loans, the share increased quarter-over-quarter 74% from Q3 2020 to Q3 2021. The data shows a 4.9 percentage points gain over Q2 2021. FHA-backed sales came in at 11.9% in Q3 2021 which was a decline of 1.1 percentage points over Q2 2021. As for year-over-year, it was a decline of 6.6 percentage points.

VA-backed sales also came in with a decline of 1.7 percentage points from Q3 2020. The data shows a 4.9% decline which is the exact opposite of cash purchases.

Cash purchases rose 7.6% making this a rise for the past two quarters. It is now 4.4% which is the largest we have seen since Q4 2014. For Q3 2021 there was a 7.7% climb with 1,000 sales and a 4,000 increase year-over-year.

The 30-year fixed rate for both conventional and government-backed mortgages also declined quarter-over-quarter. Conventional-backed mortgages reported a 93 basis points decline while government-backed mortgages came in 72 basis points lower than seen in Q4 2019.

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