A Decline in Home Prices

September 2022 saw a dip in home values after a two-month 0.4% decline. Those in the industry say that the dip comes from a reaction to the drop in mortgage rates this summer. The future will also see a decline in the housing market due to the rise in mortgage rates since the summer.

The United States has seen declines as follows: Phoenix (-2.3%), Las Vegas (-1.9%), New Orleans (-1.0%), Riverside (-0.9%), and Austin (-0.9%). There has been a rise in prices in the following: Richmond (0.6%), Miami (0.6%), and Indianapolis (0.6%) markets. The greatest year-over-year was in Miami (25.7%), Orlando (23.4%), Tampa (23.2%) and Jacksonville (22.6%).

Fortunately, active listings have risen 3% from this time last year but they are still well below norms before the pandemic. This still is good for buyers as it means there are more options.

Even though there are fewer sales, pending listings dropped 29% compared to September 2021. This is due mostly to the rise in interest rates. Offers to accepted offers also went from 11 days in September 2021 to 19 days in September 2022. Many sellers began to cut the price of their homes to create a since of urgency.

Click Here For the Source of the Information.

New Home Construction Is Beginning To Pick Back Up

 Good news for the housing market, the new home building is starting to pick back up but builders are still frustrated. This fall we have seen an uptick in new home building even with the slower demand from new home buyers. Builder sentiment is still down though due to things like the high cost of building materials.

According to the US Census Bureau, August home starts for new home construction rose 12.2% from the previous month. This is still 1% down from August 2021 just a year ago. The home starts are still trying to catch up this fall from the big drop that was seen this spring. The housing starts have been holding steady up until about a month ago when they began to increase.

The increase is a plus for the housing market due to the low inventory that has disrupted the market for the past two years. The rise in home prices and bidding wars are part of the direct outcome of this shortage. ” The latest month’s increase is implying that builders still see profit opportunities even as they concede on prices,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors.

Multi-family projects have seen the biggest gain which jumped 30% from July, single-family homes only rose 3.4% from a month ago. Even with these increases, builders are still shy about being too optimistic of what the future holds. Building permits dropped 10% from the beginning of the summer and were down 14.4% from the same time last year. Surveys are still showing that builder confidence is still falling.

This fall is partly to be blamed on higher mortgage rates, supply chain problems and high home prices. “Buyer traffic is weak in many markets as more consumers remain on the sidelines due to high mortgage rates and home prices that are putting a new home purchase out of financial reach for many households,” said Jerry Konter, NAHB Chairman.

The National Association of Home Builders reports show that builder sentiment has gone down every month since 2022 and shows no signs of rising anytime soon. “Builders continue to grapple with elevated construction costs and an aggressive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve that helped push mortgage rates above 6% last week, the highest level since 2008,” according to Robert Dietz, NAHB Chief Economist.

“In this soft market, more than half of the builders in our survey reported using incentives to bolster sales, including mortgage rate buy downs, free amenities and price reductions,” said Dietz.

This is still not pushing home buyers back into the market. The study also shows that the cycle of homeowners moving up from a starter home is stalling due to the high prices and rising mortgage rates. First-time home buyers are also stalling and choosing to rent instead.

“Many potential ‘move-up’ buyers who would be likely candidates for high-priced new construction homes may also be weighing the benefits of remaining in their current home, where they likely have a mortgage rate less than half of today’s going rate – all factors that are contributing to a decline in housing mobility,’ said Kelly Mangold of RCLCO Real Estate Consulting.

The huge increase in multi-family buildings is due to the record high rents around the country. “Apartment demand has been strong, with rents rising at a historically high pace. Those consumers unable to qualify for a mortgage at higher interest rates are renewing their rental leases. Job creation is also boosting the rental demand,” stated Yun.

Click Here For the Source of the Information.

Reasons For The Continuing Price Appreciation

 The current shift in the market will cause a slow down in price growth but professionals in the industry report that price appreciation will keep going. Good news for sellers as the home prices will not drop.  There are two reasons why this is the case: supply and demand. 

Housing inventory is increasing in 2022 but it is a slow increase and housing demand is still low.  The reason we do not have enough homes on the market today stems from the 2008 crash.  After the crash, many builders and businesses in the industry closed shop.  Now that the housing market is hot with buyer’s demand, there are not enough houses being built.  After the crash in the housing market there has been a long period of underbuilding.   Since this has been going on for fourteen years, it will take awhile to build back from the underbuilding of new homes.

Even though we are seeing higher home prices and an increase in mortgage rates, this does not mean that buyer demand is cooling off.  In fact experts predict that Millennials will keep the buying momentum going.  The reason we are seeing the Millennials flooding the market is due to their agining into their peak homebuying years.  The Millennial demand coupled with low housing supply is causing the pressure to rise on home prices.

” Millennials continue to transition to their prime home-buying age and will remain the driving force in potential homeownership demand in the years ahead”, says Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American.

” After all, supplies of homes for sale remain near record lows. And while a jump in mortgage rates has dampened demand somewhat, demand still outpaces supply, thanks to a combination of little new construction and strong household formation by large numbers of millennials “, says Bankrate.

Home prices are not going to fall due to these changes. Since there is still an unbalance between demand and supply.  Like with all products in any market, supply and demand  will predict the market.  A local sales agent can help you navigate the home buying process even when the market is shifting.

Click Here For the Source of the Information.

Millennials Win When It Comes to Buying Homes

 The National Association of Realtors revealed in the most recent buyers' report that millennials make up 37% of the homebuyers. Millennials (22-40 years old) make up the largest share of homebuyers in 2021.

The report breaks up the millennial generation into two groups. The older millennials who make up 23% of homebuyers range from 31-40 years old and the young millennials (ages 22-30) make up 14%. Combined this makes up the 37% reported and has not changed since 2014.

This year the report also includes Gen Z buyers for the first time. These buyers are between 18 and 21 years old and only make up around 2% of home buyers and sellers. Gen X (ages 42 - 57) comes in at 24% when it comes to buying a home. Gen X has the highest median income of $113,300 and they usually purchase the largest houses (2,100 square feet).

The oldest generation reported was the Silent Generation which is from 74 - 95 years old. This generation just purchased 5% of the homes this year. This is a small group which probably is due to the fact that this age bracket is retired. The largest group for selling homes was the Baby Boomers (ages 56 - 74) which consisted of 43% of home sellers.

If you would like to view the NAR's report which also includes characteristics of home buyers and sellers click here.

Click Here For the Source of the Information.

Three Must Have Features for the 2021 Homebuyer

The COVID-19 pandemic has shifted the way buyers think when it comes to the features they must have in a new home. The list of desired features can be a litany of things, but these three top the list when it comes to the broader overall trends.

Spaces in a home usually have a sole purpose, but in this day in age, a dining room can also be a classroom. Buyers are wanting flex space in a home that can be transformed effortlessly.

“Great rooms divided by screens to create privacy, spare bedrooms converted into offices, and areas that function as a workspace by day and a dining room by night,” lists Doreen Trudeau, Global Real Estate Advisor with Venture Sotheby’s International Realty in Hawaii. “The need to create secluded workspaces, especially with more than one professional in the house, has owners repurposing nooks and closets.”

Modularity can be done in a hundred different ways. Realtors are demonstrating this key factor to clients when showing a home. Two great examples are fold-out desks and retractable walls. Realtors are also coming up with ideas for flex space outside of the main home.

“There are many creative ways to achieve a dedicated workspace with under-utilized outdoor spaces. Some that I’ve seen include detached office sheds and gazebos,” said Clark Niemeyer, a Real Estate Professional with Realogics Sotheby’s International Realty in Seattle.

Openness has also become a big selling factor when it comes to a home's floor plan. Today, buyers are seeking a floor plan to be functional and versatile and connective, and borderless. Good features that can help achieve openness are high ceilings, floor-to-ceiling windows, properly scaled furniture, and connectivity to the kitchen. Color can also hinder or enhance the openness of a home. Dark rooms usually appear smaller than light-colored rooms.

“Buyers are looking for seamless transitions between interior and exterior areas,” explains Trudeau. “Glass doors and negligible window coverings are two ways to create the illusion of larger space.” 

The stay-at-home orders caused everyone to look at their home in a different light. Your home became your retreat 24/7. Realtors are now finding areas in the home that are designed for joy, escape, and relaxation.

“Comfort has become paramount as we spend more time in our homes,” says Trudeau. “Most of my buyers still want a clean, linear space—simplicity with an emphasis on durability. Performance fabrics are becoming more popular as we live and work from home. Quality still resonates with the affluent buyer, but in design, less is more.”

A sanctuary for a homebuyer could be a separate home spa or an ensuite bathroom with high-end amenities. A tranquil setting could be created with soft, white neutrals and natural, organic materials in a home.

A good Realtor can help a homebuyer find a home that has one or all three of these features. A local sales agent can shed light on instances of modularity, openness, and sanctuary in a new home.

Click Here For the Source of the Information.

Newly Built Home Sales Rise 25.8% Year-Over-Year

Just like summer here in New Orleans, July’s housing market was hot! The new home sales activity is on its way back to normal with annual home sales already reaching 507,000. The Census Bureau and HUD reports that newly built home sales rose 5.4% from June of this year and 25.8% from July of last year.  New home inventories were reported at 218,000 in July which is the highest level that have been seen in over five years.
This increase can also be seen in private residential construction spending where the high was at an annual rate of $387 billion in July.  This solidifies the continuing economic growth in the construction industry.  Single-family homes have pushed construction expansion 15.8% on a year-over-year basis and multifamily new home construction spending is 21.2% higher than it was reported a year ago.

Developers are not the only ones that are seeing a positive growth, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reports increase in existing home sales.  Existing home sales increased in July 0.5% from June and 7.4% from July of last year. Completed sales (closings) were reported at the highest since February 2007.

The confidence for home buyers stems from the strengthening economy.  The Bureau of Economic Analysis reports that the global economic developments (GDP) growth is at a strong 3.7% rate.  These findings were based on several factors including investment, faster growth for consumption, government spending and trade components.

Now is the time for buyers buying new homes or existing homes to tap into the housing market. Sales are solid which makes the real estate market a stable venture. New home prices are continuing to strengthen making real estate a great investment.

Click Here for the Source of the Information.

Builders & Buyers Enjoying Robust Real Estate Market

Builders and buyers alike are optimistic that the recovery of the real estate market nationwide is here to stay as new home sales increased 18% year-over-year in June, 2015 compared to 2014, and new home inventory also increased by 3.4%.  Builders are discovering that bank construction loans are easing slightly on credit requirements and equity, and also with the increasing number of new home sales, builders are “turning over” the new homes that they are building so they are freeing up capital to invest in new lots for sale in traditional as well as master planned developments.

However, all of the great news regarding the real estate market was tempered by a slight drop in sales from May to June, 2015, for a total drop of 6.8%, down from 517,000 in may to 482,000 in June.  However, the summer months sometimes experience a lag because of school getting out, and potential home buyers going on vacation in the early part of the summer.  Overall, new home sales have been increasing both incrementally and expotentially since 2012.

Good news for builders is that there is an increasing demand from new home buyers for homes to purchase. This demand has not tapered off or decreased since the housing market started its recovery.  This trend has especially been noticed in the new, master planned community of Bedico Creek Preserve in St. Tammany Parish which features 11 Neighborhoods of new homes for sale, lots for sale, and new homes under construction.  Buyers living on the Northshore already find that this new home community is convenient to the cities of Mandeville, Madisonville, Covington, and Abita Springs in West St. Tammany Parish.

New lots are constantly being developed as new neighborhoods within the subdivision are opening with available lots for those new home buyers interested in building their own custom home.  There is no shortage of new homes to buy and new lots to buy at Bedico Creek in the Greater New Orleans area.  Contact Bedico Creek to schedule a tour of this Conservation Community by calling 985-845-4200 or E-mailing Info@LiveBedico.com.

Click Here for the Source of the Information.