A Decline in Home Prices

September 2022 saw a dip in home values after a two-month 0.4% decline. Those in the industry say that the dip comes from a reaction to the drop in mortgage rates this summer. The future will also see a decline in the housing market due to the rise in mortgage rates since the summer.

The United States has seen declines as follows: Phoenix (-2.3%), Las Vegas (-1.9%), New Orleans (-1.0%), Riverside (-0.9%), and Austin (-0.9%). There has been a rise in prices in the following: Richmond (0.6%), Miami (0.6%), and Indianapolis (0.6%) markets. The greatest year-over-year was in Miami (25.7%), Orlando (23.4%), Tampa (23.2%) and Jacksonville (22.6%).

Fortunately, active listings have risen 3% from this time last year but they are still well below norms before the pandemic. This still is good for buyers as it means there are more options.

Even though there are fewer sales, pending listings dropped 29% compared to September 2021. This is due mostly to the rise in interest rates. Offers to accepted offers also went from 11 days in September 2021 to 19 days in September 2022. Many sellers began to cut the price of their homes to create a since of urgency.

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Experts Predict Record Increase in 2022 for Conforming Loans

 The housing market has had some price increases in homes in the past year. The spike has not only hit the home buyer's pockets but has pushed the limits of conforming loans to what experts anticipate may be record increases in 2022.

The Wall Street Journal reported that the maximum loan limit will be close to $1 million for high-cost areas for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Those loans that are over the loan limits will be considered non-conforming or jumbo loans and will also be charged higher interest rates.

Many home buyers are excited about the increase. Those in high-cost areas will now not be considered jumbo loans. "There are so many benefits to having a conforming loan, increasing the loan limits will be huge," said Melissa Cohn, Regional Vice President at William Raveis Mortgage.

Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are not lenders but they buy loans back from lenders and turn around and sell them to investors. In turn, loans are cheaper for lenders and they can offer better rates to their consumers.

Now with the higher limit for conforming loans, more homebuyers will qualify. The consumer will spend less on their down payments and can have a lower credit score to be approved.

This change comes as the home prices have increased around 7.42% between the third quarter of 2019 and 2020. Due to the rise, the baseline maximum conforming loan limit will increase.

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Post Recession Recovery in New Home Sales

The National Association of Home Builders projected approximately 511,000 new homes would be sold during 2015, and the new home sales numbers surpassed that prediction by a small landslide bringing in 544,000 new home sales on a seasonally adjusted basis in December, 2015.  This was welcome news for home builders showing a recovery in new home sales numbers.  The increase was a 10.8% increase year-over-year, and this also heralded the best year for new home sales since 2007, just before the housing market crash.  In the South region specifically, new home sales were up 17.6% – the second highest percentage in the nation.
In addition to an increase in sales, new home inventory also increased during the month of December by 2.6% to 237,000 available homes for sale. 

However, the combination of the sales rate and the available inventory shows a trend in supply and demand that is on the rise.  The monthly supply of new home inventory fell from 5.5 months to 5.2 months with the building and selling of these new homes.
The prices of homes being sold are also encouraging.  First-time home buyers have yet to take a strong hold in the market, but second and third-time home buyers are making purchases of new homes in the $200’s – $400’s, which means that they are able to “move up” from their existing homes into their next home.  This also indicates the sale of existing homes for sale, which shows a well-rounded, moving real estate market.

Another positive trend that has emerged is the sale of pre-sold homes.  These are homes that builders are advertising before they ever break ground on the new construction.  The rendering and floorplan, as well as the lot layout may be all the new home buyer has to go on to sign a contract to buy the home, but with the reduction in available inventory, the increase in unused building permits and new home starts, the only explanation is that builders are able to sell their homes before they start building them.  This trend was prevalent during the early 2000’s and shows that the housing market seems to finally be on its way to a full recovery.

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Reasons to Buy a Home

From a survey conducted every 2 years by the National Association of Homes Builders (NAHB), builders and Realtors can learn and understand what the “average home buyer” wants in the home that they are buying.  This survey is very important in detailing a buyer’s reasons to buy a home.   From a broad perspective, the survey indicated that over 55% of home buyers would prefer to buy a new home vs. a pre-existing home, but the actual percentage of home buyers buying new homes was only 11% from 2011 – 2013.  However ,this 11% was actually a 3% increase from 2008 when only 8% of home buyer bought a new home.

Size, floorplan, price and neighborhood scored in the top 70th percentile as reasons to buy a home by home buyers surveyed by the NAHB with the aesthetics and safety playing an important role in the decision to buy in a certain neighborhood.  In St. Tammany Parish, Bedico Creek Preserve offers a master planned community in Madisonville that scores highly on not only beautiful homes and an almost completely safe neighborhood location, but also, with 10 Neighborhoods within the subdivision from which to choose, new home buyers also get to enjoy lots of variety in choosing not only a house to buy but also a lot location on which to build a new, custom home, if desired.

The NAHB also said that good schools tended to be important to new home buyers especially.  Madisonville, Louisiana, boasts the best school district in St. Tammany Parish which already scores as one of the best school districts in the state.  Many home buyers’ reasons to buy a home in Bedico Creek is because of its excellent school district.

Another important factor found in the survey was that buyers of new homes valued quality construction especially when using a builder to build them a new home.  The construction, durability, and beauty of the home was extremely important to them.  In Bedico Creek, we have 14 new home builders that are available for a consultation on either building a new home on a lot purchased in our community or buying a new home built by our quality builders in St. Tammany Parish.

According the National Association of Home Builders,  Bedico Creek Preserve scores highly across the board for all of the features that are important to new home buyers which is probably why the homes and lots in our new subdivision are selling out so quickly.  Don’t miss your opportunity to own a new home in the fastest growing master planned community in St. Tammany Parish!  Contact Us at 985-845-4200 or E-mail Info@LiveBedico.com.

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Single-Family Home Construction Available on the Northshore

New Urbanism is alive and well in the Greater New Orleans area with Mixed-Use Developments being built where previously housing projects had stood.  Many developers are tapping into the multi-family construction industry, building apartment housing in popular neighborhoods.  Single-family home construction is taking a backseat to these types of developments as well as multi-family condo and townhome construction also in the city of New Orleans.  Because of this, people relocating to the New Orleans area as well as young people graduating from college and moving out are finding it harder and harder to find the traditional “first time home buyer home.”

Surprisingly, Millenials, according to the National Association of Home Builders, tend to want to live in single-family homes in the suburbs.  According to the NAHB’s survey, 75% want traditional new homes, and 66% prefer to live in the suburbs with only 10% choosing urban living, such as living in downtown New Orleans or the outlying areas.  While nationally this is a trend, the migration of Millenials may very well benefit the Northshore of the lake because in St. Tammany Parish, there are plenty of new homes for sale as well as lots for sale.

Since the Recession, home pricing has been somewhat unreliable, but now housing prices seem to have stabilized, so it is less difficult to acquire housing finance for new home buyers looking to buy their first, second, or even third home.  Another factor that may drive new home buyers to the north shore is the fact that inventory in popular, safe neighborhoods in New Orleans such as the Garden District, Bywater, Uptown, etc., is very scarce, prompting bidding wars among home buyers.  Young home buyers may get priced out of the market with competitive pricing being higher than normal.

Regardless of where the Millenials in the Greater New Orleans area choose to buy their new, single-family home, Bedico Creek Preserve is “ready” for any type of home buyer with 10 Neighborhoods from which to choose new homes for sale and lots for sale.  Lot pricing at Bedico Creek starts in the $40’s, and new home prices start in the $240’s.  If you are ready to view a lot for sale or new home for sale, Contact Bedico Creek at 985-845-4200 or E-mail Info@LiveBedico.com.

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Lot Sales, Home Sales, Good News for New Home Buyers

St. Tammany Parish now has one of the fastest growing, fastest selling new home communities on the Northshore at Bedico Creek Preserve in Madisonville, Louisiana.  Lot sales and home sales are setting a record pace for 2015.  This master planned subdivisions has, this year alone, opened up three new Neighborhoods within the community – Lakeview, Heron Point, and Heron Lake – with plans for 2 more neighborhoods to come online in 2016.  Located off of Hwy. 1077 and Hwy. 1085, .Bedico Creek is just over 3 miles from Interstate 12 and an efficient commute to Mandeville, Covington, Slidell, and Hammond, as well as the Southshore.

Close to 6 miles away lies the existing and new shopping districts of Highway 21 featuring mall box stores such as Kohl’s, Lane Bryan, Belks, and Best Buy, and multiple popular restaurants such as Longhorn Steakhouse, Olive Garden, Cracker Barrel, and Texas Roadhouse, just to name a few.  The area also features many small boutique shops and restaurants as well as grocery shopping at Winn Dixie.  All of this approximately 5.8 miles from the entrance to our Conservation Community.

Bedico Creek was specifically designed to be a nature habitat that just happened to have houses.  The community design offers green spaces, water features, and 500 acres of walking and biking paths as well as walking and hiking trails through a wildlife preserve.  Lot sales at Bedico Creek are happening quickly, so if you decide to buy, you will not only be able to choose from among 14 quality St. Tammany Parish builders, but you will also get to enjoy 500 acres of natural beauty, peace and privacy.  Many of our lots are also waterfront lots in that they are located around the many lakes and ponds throughout the community.

New homes are built and available to buy at Bedico Creek with a selection of different sizes and prices perfect for your family.  If you are interested in picking out your “view,” you can select your exact lot from a variety of Neighborhoods throughout the community.  Lots come in many different sizes and shapes with cul-de-sac and corner lots also available.

This new home, master planned neighborhood also features both natural and “man-made” amenities with a community swimming pool, Pavilion, dock / fishing area, disc golf course, and even a place to enjoy a fire on a chilly fall winter night where you have an uninhibited view of the stars.  We have a map of our parks and trails system throughout the community, and we encourage you to bring your camera to catch shots of all of the local wildlife.

Bedico Creek has it all lot sales, home sales, good news for home buyers. To take a peek at this amazing new subdivision in St. Tammany Parish, call one of our onsite sales representatives at 985-845-4200 or E-mail Info@LiveBedico.com.

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Student Debt Is Not an Obstacle to Homeownership

According to a study done by Zillow.com, the only way student debt can negatively impact young professionals interested in starting a family and “settling down” to buy their first home is if that debt is combined with no degree at all.  According to the study, student debt is not an obstacle to homeownership with those students who finished with a bachelor’s degree or higher for the amount of debt they acquired.  Home buyers that are college graduates and never had to take on student loans have a higher chance (70%) of becoming a homeowner than home buyers that have student debt and at least a bachelor’s college degree, but not by much – the statistic only drops to 66% for these types of buyers.

Because of the Recession and the lack of jobs for college graduates upon completing college, many young people did not get married and start a family right away, so household formation was also a considering factor in the study done by Zillow.com.  The study seemed to indicate that people were waiting until their 30’s to have children, and the study included those couples that had actually started a family with at least one child.

High rents were also a factor as being a deterrent for young professionals to be able to buy a home.  The payment of higher rent made it impossible for them to get the larger down payment together upon trying to get financing for a conventional mortgage.  The FHA just recently reduced the percentage of down payment required for both FHA and Rural Development loans, so this factor will not be as pertinent moving forward.

The truth about young professionals becoming homeowners is that student debt is not an obstacle to homeownership, and the possession of a bachelor’s degree or higher and the acquisition of a good job after college has made it possible for these students to be able to buy a new or pre-existing home upon graduation (or later).  This is good news for the housing market as one more positive sign that the real estate market is moving in the upwards direction.

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