Saturday, November 30, 2024

Residential Construction Wages Surge Amid Labor Shortages

Wages for residential building workers experienced remarkable growth in September 2024, climbing by 9.9% year-over-year. This follows an even higher increase of 10.8% in August, marking an unprecedented trend in wage growth within this sector since the data series began in 1990. The year-over-year wage growth has been on an upward trajectory, reflecting the compounded effects of a persistent skilled labor shortage and the lingering impacts of inflation.

Despite these wage gains, the demand for construction labor has softened compared to the previous year. Recent data from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) revealed that open construction sector jobs decreased from 328,000 in August to 288,000 in September. While this decline indicates a potential cooling in demand, the shortage of skilled workers continues to challenge the sector's ability to meet its workforce needs.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the average hourly earnings for residential building workers reached $33.51 in September, a significant increase from $30.50 in the same period last year. These wages outpaced other industries, being 19.2% higher than the manufacturing sector's $28.12 per hour and 14.7% above transportation and warehousing's $29.21 per hour. However, residential construction wages remained 8.1% lower than those in mining and logging, which averaged $36.46 per hour.

The construction labor market's wage surge highlights the dual pressures of retaining skilled workers and addressing the ongoing labor shortage. While higher wages aim to attract and retain talent, they also underscore the sector's broader challenges, including fluctuating demand and the need to balance labor costs with project budgets. As the industry adapts to these dynamics, wage trends will remain a key indicator of its health and resilience.

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A New Chapter for the Children’s Museum of St. Tammany

After months of transitions and challenges, the Children's Museum of St. Tammany has reopened its doors in a new location at Pelican Plaza in Mandeville. The reopening on November 5 marked a significant milestone for the museum, which welcomed 229 guests to explore its expanded space and refreshed exhibits. With an additional 1,000 square feet compared to its previous location, the museum now features both reimagined classic exhibits and exciting new additions, such as a STEM-focused lights and shadows area, a giant "Lite Zilla" Light Bright wall, and enhanced soft play and literacy zones.

Classic exhibits, including the play restaurant, climbing wall, and Natural Wonders exploration area, have been carried over and updated to fit the open-concept design. Executive Director Christy Myers highlighted that the new layout not only allows for more exploration but also increases the guest capacity from 160 to 220. This larger footprint and thoughtful redesign promise to enhance the experience for children and families.

However, the museum's move was not without difficulty. St. Tammany Parish officials opted not to renew the museum's lease on Koop Drive, citing unpaid rent and maintenance disputes. Museum representatives countered these claims, pointing to repair costs they had absorbed and citing the pandemic's financial toll. After the lease negotiations failed, the museum closed its former location in May and temporarily hosted summer camps at Marigny Elementary. Myers expressed gratitude to St. Tammany Parish Public Schools for their collaboration, which ensured the camps' success despite the uncertainty.

The decision to relocate within Mandeville was driven by the museum's cooperative agreements with the city and its proximity to Pelican Park, a key partner for large-scale events. While setbacks, including fire marshal adjustments, delayed the reopening until November, the museum ultimately succeeded in making its new home a reality.

Community response has been largely positive, though some parents have expressed concerns about parking at the new site. Myers assured guests that additional parking options are available, though they may require some extra communication to locate. While some visitors will miss the convenience of the previous location near Kids Konnection playground, others are eager to enjoy the museum's expanded offerings and indoor restrooms.

Admission to the museum is $12 for visitors over 12 months old, with reduced pricing available through the Museums for All Program for families with EBT cards. Additionally, the museum plans to host eight free admission days before the end of the year, ensuring accessibility for the broader community.

With its doors open once again, the Children's Museum of St. Tammany offers a vibrant and engaging space for children under 10 to learn, explore, and create, continuing its legacy as a cherished destination for local families.

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Sawmill Industry Sees Marginal Gains Amid Challenges

In the second quarter of 2024, the sawmill and wood preservation industry experienced a slight recovery, with the production index rising by 0.2%. This marked the first uptick in real output since the third quarter of 2023, following two consecutive quarters of decline. However, the index remains 2.2% lower than it was a year ago, reflecting the largest year-over-year drop since the fourth quarter of 2021. Despite the marginal improvement, the industry faces ongoing challenges that limit significant growth.

The Census Bureau's Quarterly Survey of Plant Capacity Utilization sheds light on the operational trends within the sector. Utilization rates, which measure actual production against full production capacity, jumped from 61.9% in the first quarter to 70.7% in the second quarter. This increase indicates a more efficient use of available resources, though it did not result in a substantial rise in production. Average plant operating hours rose from 47.9 hours per week in the first quarter to 57.7 hours in the second quarter, signaling heightened activity across the industry.

Employment within the sawmill and wood preservation sector also saw its first increase in six quarters, with the workforce growing to approximately 89,400 employees. The industry suffered significant losses during the Great Recession, when employment plummeted from 105,630 in early 2008 to a low of 80,470 by late 2009. While employment recovered to around 91,000 in 2014 and has since remained stable, the sector continues to navigate economic fluctuations and demand shifts.

Combining the production index with utilization rates reveals a nuanced picture of the industry's production capacity. While production capacity has grown since 2015, it remains below the peak levels reached in 2011. Higher utilization rates have supported elevated production levels despite constrained capacity. This trend highlights the resilience of U.S. sawmills, which continue to operate above historical efficiency levels to meet market demand.

Nonetheless, the industry struggles to fulfill domestic softwood lumber demand. Census data underscores the importance of imports in bridging this gap. In September alone, softwood lumber imports totaled 1.1 billion board feet, with Canada supplying 987 million board feet. Canadian imports face an average Antidumping/Countervailing duty rate of 14.5%, reflecting ongoing tensions over alleged subsidies provided by Canadian provincial governments. These tariffs, in place since the 2015 expiration of the softwood lumber agreement, have benefited U.S. producers by supporting expanded production capacity.

Despite these measures, the industry's output still lags behind demand, underscoring the complexities of maintaining a balance between domestic production and reliance on imports. As the sawmill and wood preservation industry navigates these challenges, its recovery and growth will depend on strategic investment in capacity expansion and continued efficiency improvements.

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Breaking Down the Financial Realities of Home Buying

Buying a home is one of the most significant financial decisions you'll make, and it comes with a host of complexities that can feel overwhelming. From down payments to hidden costs, understanding the financial landscape of homeownership is crucial. To shed light on the process, we analyzed survey data from 676 prospective and recent homebuyers to uncover key insights about the money matters behind purchasing a home.

The Down Payment

For most buyers, the down payment is the first major hurdle. Survey respondents reported putting down an average of 27% on their homes, while prospective buyers aimed for about 21%. On average, it took 4.5 years to save for this milestone. Tools like neighborhood guides and market trend analysis can help buyers set realistic savings goals by providing data on median sale prices and year-over-year price changes.

How Buyers Made It Work

Saving for a down payment requires strategy and discipline. Over half of the respondents (52%) increased contributions to their savings accounts, while 31% opened high-yield savings accounts to maximize growth. Some took on extra jobs (18%) or tapped into home-buying incentive programs (17%) to bridge the gap. Non-traditional approaches like rent-to-own agreements (33%), buying tiny homes (28%), or becoming landlords (29%) also appealed to many. Additionally, 1 in 5 buyers received financial help from family, with parents being the most common source of support.

The Hidden Costs

Even well-prepared buyers often encounter unforeseen expenses during the home-buying process. Common surprises include inspection fees, title costs, and transfer taxes. Post-purchase, remodeling costs frequently exceed expectations. "I wish I'd known how expensive plumbing is," one respondent said, reflecting on an inability to afford bathroom renovations. Another buyer suggested putting down less money to keep cash on hand for repairs, noting that mortgage interest rates are often lower than credit card rates used to cover unexpected costs.

Understanding the financial realities of buying a home can make the process smoother and less daunting. By setting realistic savings goals, exploring creative solutions, and planning for additional expenses, buyers can make informed decisions that set them up for success in their homeownership journey.

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Why Getting Preapproved by Multiple Lenders Can Strengthen Your Homebuying Journey

When buying a home, securing a mortgage preapproval is a critical step that demonstrates your seriousness as a buyer and clarifies your financial boundaries. While obtaining just one preapproval might seem sufficient, many homebuyers are discovering the advantages of getting preapproved by multiple lenders. A recent Zillow study revealed that 32% of homebuyers pursue more than one preapproval, and the benefits of doing so are compelling.

Compare Rates and Terms

The primary reason to seek multiple preapprovals is to shop around for the best mortgage rates and terms. Lenders often offer varying combinations of interest rates, closing costs, and loan structures. Some might provide lower rates with higher upfront fees, while others may waive fees but charge a slightly higher interest rate. By comparing these options, you can identify the mortgage that aligns best with your long-term financial goals.

Strengthen Negotiating Power

When you have multiple preapprovals, lenders are more motivated to offer you competitive terms. If a lender knows they're competing for your business, they may provide lower rates or additional perks to win you over. This puts you in a stronger position when negotiating your final mortgage terms, potentially saving you thousands of dollars over the life of the loan.

Diversify Lender Options

Different types of lenders—big banks, online lenders, and credit unions—each have their own advantages. By getting preapproved through a mix of these institutions, you gain insights into which lender might best suit your needs. Some buyers prefer the personalized service of a local credit union, while others are drawn to the streamlined processes of online lenders. Exploring diverse options ensures you're making an informed decision.

Leverage Incentives

Many lenders offer incentives to attract borrowers during the preapproval process. These perks might include locking in your interest rate, reducing fees, or providing other cost-saving benefits. According to Zillow, 25% of buyers who pursued multiple preapprovals did so to take advantage of such offers. Rate locks, in particular, can shield you from rising interest rates while you search for the perfect home.

Gain a Competitive Edge

In a competitive housing market, having multiple preapprovals can make your offer more attractive to sellers. Some sellers view buyers with multiple preapprovals as more reliable, knowing they have backup options should one lender withdraw their approval. Additionally, if a seller requests multiple preapprovals, you'll already have the necessary documentation in hand to meet their requirements.

Account for Financial Changes

Life events, such as a promotion, job loss, or the ability to make a larger down payment, can impact your mortgage eligibility. If your financial situation changes significantly after your initial preapproval, obtaining updated preapprovals ensures your maximum loan amount reflects your current circumstances. This can help avoid surprises later in the buying process.

Potential Downsides to Consider

While there are clear benefits to multiple preapprovals, there are some potential drawbacks. Each preapproval involves a credit check, which can slightly lower your credit score. However, credit inquiries made within a 30-day window are typically counted as a single inquiry, minimizing their impact. Additionally, preapproval letters are generally valid for only 90 days, so if your home search extends beyond that timeframe, you may need to reapply, which could lead to further credit checks.

The Bottom Line

Getting preapproved by multiple lenders can provide significant advantages, from securing better rates to enhancing your negotiating power. While it's essential to consider the impact on your credit and the validity of preapproval letters, the benefits often outweigh the drawbacks. By exploring your options and staying informed, you can approach the homebuying process with confidence and secure a mortgage that works best for your needs.

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Friday, October 25, 2024

U.S. Housing Permit Growth in First Seven Months of 2024

The total number of single-family permits issued across the U.S. during the first seven months of 2024 reached 599,308, reflecting a 13.7% increase compared to the same period in 2023, when 527,158 permits were issued.

Regional Single-Family Permit Growth

From January to July 2024, single-family permit growth was observed in all four major regions:

  • West: 18.2% increase
  • Midwest: 14.5% increase
  • South: 12.4% increase
  • Northeast: 9.8% increase

This upward trend indicates a nationwide surge in single-family homebuilding, driven by strong demand and favorable conditions in most markets.

Regional Multifamily Permit Trends

The multifamily permit landscape, however, experienced mixed results. While the Northeast, boosted by growth in New York, posted a significant 32% increase in multifamily permits, other regions saw declines:

  • West: 31.2% decrease
  • South: 22.7% decrease
  • Midwest: 9.3% decrease

Overall, the total number of multifamily permits nationwide reached 279,618, a 17.2% decrease compared to the 337,730 permits issued by July 2023.

State-Level Trends: Single-Family Permits

From July 2023 to July 2024, 47 states and the District of Columbia recorded an increase in single-family permits. The increases ranged from a high of 39.4% in Arizona to a modest 2.1% in Rhode Island. Three states experienced declines:

  • New Hampshire: -0.2%
  • Hawaii: -2.7%
  • Alaska: -10.4%

The ten states issuing the most single-family permits accounted for 64.0% of the total. Leading the pack was Texas, with 97,551 permits, representing a 15.6% increase over the same period in 2023. Florida followed with a 9.5% increase, and North Carolina showed an 11.8% increase.

State-Level Trends: Multifamily Permits

In contrast to single-family trends, only 18 states reported growth in multifamily permits, while 32 states and the District of Columbia experienced declines. Notable changes include:

  • New York: +117.4%, from 10,110 permits to 21,981
  • District of Columbia: -68.7%, from 1,969 permits to 616

The ten states issuing the most multifamily permits accounted for 64.7% of the total. Texas, the leading state, saw a 30.4% decline in multifamily permits. Florida, the second-highest state, experienced a 24.4% drop, while California, the third-highest state, recorded a 27.5% decrease.

Local Trends: Top Metro Areas

While local-level data reveals the top metro areas for single-family and multifamily permits, specific rankings and permit counts offer insights into growth hotspots and areas of decline.

Key Takeaways

  • Single-family permits saw substantial growth across all regions, with the West showing the largest increase at 18.2%.
  • Multifamily permits faced broad declines, except in the Northeast, driven by a sharp rise in New York.
  • Texas and Florida continue to lead in both single-family and multifamily permits, despite declines in the latter.

This data underscores the ongoing demand for single-family homes, while multifamily construction continues to face challenges across most states, reflecting broader shifts in the housing market.

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Newk’s Eatery to Open First New Orleans Metro Location in Mandeville

A vacant storefront in Mandeville, which has hosted a variety of restaurants over the past decade, will soon welcome a new tenant: Newk's Eatery. This marks the national chain's first foray into the competitive New Orleans metro dining scene.

Set to open next spring, Newk's will occupy a 5,500-square-foot corner location in The Village Shopping Center on U.S. 190, according to Rhonda Sharkawy of Stirling Properties. The restaurant will also feature a 785-square-foot patio, offering additional outdoor seating.

Founded in Oxford, Mississippi, in 2004, Newk's Eatery has expanded to over 100 locations across 13 states, serving a casual menu of salads, sandwiches, and pizza. The company's headquarters are in Jackson, Mississippi.

Newk's was previously owned by Sentinel Capital Partners but was sold in 2023 to FSC Franchise Co., the parent company of Beef O'Brady's and Brass Tap. While Newk's already has a presence in Baton Rouge, Lafayette, Shreveport, and Monroe, this Mandeville location will be its first in the New Orleans metro area.

The Mandeville site has been vacant since last year, following the closure of Felix's Restaurant and Oyster Bar, which opened in late 2019 but was unable to sustain its northshore location. The space has a history of hosting a series of dining concepts. Before Felix's, the location was home to N'Tini's, a popular Chalmette transplant that thrived in Mandeville after relocating in 2007. The space briefly became Due North by Legacy Kitchen in 2017, and prior to N'Tini's, it housed Rockafeller's Steakhouse.

With Newk's set to make its debut in Mandeville, the brand aims to bring its signature casual fare to a bustling dining market and tap into the area's growing demand for diverse dining options.

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