Is the Housing Market Slowing Down?

 According to data from the National Association of Realtors, pending home sales increased for the first time in six months in December 2022. Along with this it also reports that new home sales and mortgage applications are rising.

This has many in the industry asking if the housing market is slowing down. “The recent low point in home sales activity is likely over,” says NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “Mortgage rates are the dominant factor driving home sales, and recent declines in rates are clearly helping to stabilize the market.”

The new home market is seeing some progress even with higher construction costs and low affordability.

“Builder incentives and declining mortgage rates during the month of December helped push new-home sales up for the month,” says Jerry Konter, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders.

“The new normal for mortgage rates will likely be in the 5.5% to 6.5% range,” Yun says. “Job gains will steadily become important in driving local markets. The South, in particular, is set to outperform the rest of the country, thanks primarily to better job market conditions in this part of the country compared to other regions.”

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Home Builders Are Confident in 2023

 CNN reported that January has seen an improvement in home builder confidence. In fact, it was the first uptick since it has been falling for the past year.

Construction prospects are improving and this is good news for homebuyers in the housing market. For the past several years potential buyers have been facing a battle due to low inventory. According to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, the current sales, buyer traffic, and the conditions for the sale of new construction homes are improving.

Even with spikes in construction costs, shortage in building materials, and harsh affordability conditions, builders are starting to look up. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, which * is meant to gauge market conditions reported that builders’ confidence went up from December to January. December reported the lowest since 2012.

“It appears the low point for builder sentiment in this cycle was registered in December, even as many builders continue to use a variety of incentives, including price reductions, to bolster sales,” Konter said. “The rise in builder sentiment also means that cycle lows for permits and starts are likely near, and a rebound for home building could be underway later in 2023.”

“In the coming quarters, single-family home building will rise off of cycle lows as mortgage rates are expected to trend lower and boost housing affordability,” he said. “Improved housing affordability will increase housing demand, as the nation grapples with a structural housing deficit of 1.5 million units.”

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2023 Housing Market Predictions

 There is light at the end of the tunnel hopefully for potential homebuyers. According to professionals in the industry, the trends are shooting toward more affordability.

“Americans finding ways to make payments on a roof over their heads will drive the market next year,” says Zillow chief economist Skylar Olsen. “Affordability is going to be the biggest factor in housing for 2023, but there’s room for optimism on that front if mortgage rates recede.”

Those in the industry have five housing market predictions for 2023.

1. Housing affordability will improve slightly

Those in the industry say there are signs of both the home inventory and monthly mortgage cost will stabilize. Home values should not go down, but they will not keep skyrocketing to space. In fact, national home prices are predicted to remain flat, and they may even fall in some areas.

Inflation is showing some signs of easing up and mortgage rates are starting to also dip. The mortgage rates will continue to go up and down which can cause stress to the housing market.

2. The Midwest will grow in demand

The Midwest has not seen the home price increases like many of the other regions in the US. Professionals believe that this will attract homebuyers to the Midwest. Places like Iowa, Missouri, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio have more affordable homes.

The mortgage-to-income ratios in many Midwest cities such as St. Louis, Missouri, and Toledo, Ohio, make them the perfect place for first-time homebuyers. There are also more sellers willing to list right now in these areas which mean there is more inventory than in most regions.

3. More friends and family will buy homes together

According to Zillow, 18% of homebuyers have purchased with a friend or a relative who was not a spouse. Buying with someone else helps with your debt-to-income ratio and helps with a larger down payment. The seller’s market has pushed buyers into thinking creatively.

4. New construction buyers may have more choice — and even bargains

Builders’ sentiment is rising and it is leading to more homes being built. A rise in new construction can mean better discounts for potential home buyers. It is reported that new homes under construction are up 50% since February 2020.

5. More homeowners may leverage their home as a source of income

Rental prices are rising higher right now than home values. This means that your home could net you income by renting it. Your rental income will more than likely be higher than your mortgage payment.

In a 2021 survey of home buyers, one-third said they were purchasing just to rent out the home. The record low mortgage rates in 2020 and 2021 made it easier to purchase second homes as income producers. If you are worried about finding a renter for a home, Zillow Rental Manager is your solution. Zillow Rental Manager allows you to screen tenants and collect rent payments. You can post your rental online and on the app for free.

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2023 Will Be a Big Year for St. Tammany When It Comes to Road Construction

 St. Tammany residents are very familiar with traffic congestion in the parish. There is faster growth in St. Tammany Parish than the road capacity can handle, especially at major corridors like Interstate 12. In fact, residents have gone to social media about such issues.

“Treat yourself like I-12 and never stop working on yourself, no matter how inconvenient it is to everyone else,” a poster quipped on one Facebook page devoted to the topic.

According to the state Department of Transportation and Development, they are in the second phase of the $187 million project of widening I-12. This includes 3 miles from Lousiana 21 to US 190 and along with that stretch, they will widen the bridge over the Tchefuncte River. The third phase will include from Louisiana 21 to Louisiana 1077 which will be bid on in July 2023. Sec. Shawn Wilson noted that it is taking a long time because the interstate work must be done in phases.

Along with the I-12 project, there are several other road construction projects happening in St. Tammany. One to note is the new 20-mile four-lane highway that will stretch between Lacombe to Bush. Another one is the new Bridge on US 190 over the Bogue Falaya River in Covington.

“These are very impactful projects to ease traffic and make it safer,” St. Tammany Parish President Mike Cooper said.

Over the next year, the DOTD will spend around $172 million on 22 projects in St. Tammany Parish. Another one to note is Louisiana 3241 which is funded by the 4-cent-per-gallon gasoline tax.

“It should have been here 30 years ago,” Wilson said of the highway that will run from the juncture of I-12 and Louisiana 434 in Lacombe north to Bush.

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How the Mandeville Children’s Museum Rang in the New Year

 The Children’s Museum of St. Tammany Parish in Mandeville came up with a unique way for a family fun event to ring in the New Year. Children and their families can to the museum early on New Year’s Eve to celebrate ringing in 2023.

There were tons of games and activities for everyone and they celebrated by having a noon balloon drop. Kid-friendly music was performed live by the Imagination Movers.

The museum has also recently celebrated and welcomed Christy Myers as its first executive director. She has worked closely with the museum since it opened.

“I’m really looking forward to thinking in the long term now,” Myers said, expressing thanks for a board that envisions the museum as a place “where play is encouraged, creativity is nurtured and learning is enjoyed on the north shore. Our board members are very hands-on ” Myers said.

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Unusual Events Covered by Homeowners Insurance

 When you think of events covered by homeowners insurance, you think of fires, break-ins, tornadoes etc. just to name a few common losses. Most homeowners know the general things that it does cover.

The top property damage is by fire or weather according to the Insurance Information Institute III. There are other top claims which made the list. These include wind and hail damage, freezing pipes, and lightning.

Homeowners may not know everything that an insurance claim will cover and many are damages are surprising. Your insurance agent will know these things and can educate all policyholders on uncommon losses. They can also educate policyholders on what is not covered in a typical homeowners insurance policy such as earthquakes and flood damage.

Things that fall from the sky are covered. This can be damage from meteors or airplane parts. Homeowners surprisingly do not need a separate policy for damage from volcanic eruptions. Spoiled food, if rotted due to a power outage is covered by your homeowner’s insurance. Pet bites or attacks are also covered under a homeowner’s insurance policy. If you need to relocate during repairs after an event such as a fire, your hotel expenses can be covered.

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