July 2023 Saw Rising Home Sales

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), US pending home sales rose 0.9% for the second month in a row. This does come as a surprise due to the elevated home prices and rising mortgage rates. This still was lower than a year ago, as the year-over-year pending transactions dropped by 14%.

“The small gain in contract signings shows the potential for further increases in light of the fact that many people have lost out on multiple home-buying offers. Jobs are being added, thereby enlarging the pool of prospective home buyers. However, rising mortgage rates and limited inventory have temporarily hindered the possibility of buying for many,” said Lawrence Yun with NAR.

Pending home sales and contract signs for a new construction still top the existing home sale by about one to two months. There was an increase though in existing home sales in July. “But, unlike the market for new homes, which has received convincingly above last year’s lows, pending home sales continue to lag behind year-ago levels. This means more of the same is ahead for existing home sales, which have bounced back only modestly,” said Danielle Hale of Realtor.com.

“Today’s data suggests that home sales activity is unlikely to see a strong pick up in the next few months as limited options and significant affordability headwinds weigh on buyers,” says Hale.

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Housing Market Report for the Beginning of the New Year

 The New Year rang in with home values dropping 0.1% which made the average home value at $329,542 according to the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). This is down from the record-high of 18.8% that was reported last April.

This Zillow Home Value Index was the first reported on the new version. The new version is now based on the neural network-driven Zestimates that Zillow produces for nearly every home in the United States. So this means that the ZHVI closely tracks the vitality in the market when it is changing very fast and will be able to report a better picture for higher-priced sellers.

The mortgage rates are dipping which is great news for both buyers and sellers in the housing market. Year-over-year home value appreciation is highest in Florida. For the 50 largest metro areas the leaders included Miami (12.8%), Jacksonville (9.3%), Hartford (8.6%), Richmond (8.6%) and Orlando (8.4%). On the other end were Western and tech-centric metro areas the prices were down with San Francisco (-4.9%), Sacramento (-2.6%), San Jose (-2.3%) Austin (-1.1%) and Seattle (0.8%).

Buyers did begin to return to the market at the beginning of the year but the newly pending listings were still 20% lower than the same time last year. January saw a 30% increase from December when it came to newly pending listings. The strongest winter season was still reported pre-pandemic.

Unfortunately, sales were down the lowest this January since 2018. The year began with only 232,000 new listings where it was reported at 328,000 new listings in January 2021. The listing pool will probably stay on the low side due to a much lower “normal” volume of homes listed.

If you are in the market to list or buy a home, it is still a good market. Choosing a local real estate agent to help you with the process is a wise decision, especially in the current housing market.

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Is the Housing Market Slowing Down?

 According to data from the National Association of Realtors, pending home sales increased for the first time in six months in December 2022. Along with this it also reports that new home sales and mortgage applications are rising.

This has many in the industry asking if the housing market is slowing down. “The recent low point in home sales activity is likely over,” says NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “Mortgage rates are the dominant factor driving home sales, and recent declines in rates are clearly helping to stabilize the market.”

The new home market is seeing some progress even with higher construction costs and low affordability.

“Builder incentives and declining mortgage rates during the month of December helped push new-home sales up for the month,” says Jerry Konter, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders.

“The new normal for mortgage rates will likely be in the 5.5% to 6.5% range,” Yun says. “Job gains will steadily become important in driving local markets. The South, in particular, is set to outperform the rest of the country, thanks primarily to better job market conditions in this part of the country compared to other regions.”

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2023 Will Be a Big Year for St. Tammany When It Comes to Road Construction

 St. Tammany residents are very familiar with traffic congestion in the parish. There is faster growth in St. Tammany Parish than the road capacity can handle, especially at major corridors like Interstate 12. In fact, residents have gone to social media about such issues.

“Treat yourself like I-12 and never stop working on yourself, no matter how inconvenient it is to everyone else,” a poster quipped on one Facebook page devoted to the topic.

According to the state Department of Transportation and Development, they are in the second phase of the $187 million project of widening I-12. This includes 3 miles from Lousiana 21 to US 190 and along with that stretch, they will widen the bridge over the Tchefuncte River. The third phase will include from Louisiana 21 to Louisiana 1077 which will be bid on in July 2023. Sec. Shawn Wilson noted that it is taking a long time because the interstate work must be done in phases.

Along with the I-12 project, there are several other road construction projects happening in St. Tammany. One to note is the new 20-mile four-lane highway that will stretch between Lacombe to Bush. Another one is the new Bridge on US 190 over the Bogue Falaya River in Covington.

“These are very impactful projects to ease traffic and make it safer,” St. Tammany Parish President Mike Cooper said.

Over the next year, the DOTD will spend around $172 million on 22 projects in St. Tammany Parish. Another one to note is Louisiana 3241 which is funded by the 4-cent-per-gallon gasoline tax.

“It should have been here 30 years ago,” Wilson said of the highway that will run from the juncture of I-12 and Louisiana 434 in Lacombe north to Bush.

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New Home Building Project in Covington Back on Track

As the job market gets stronger, so does the housing market.  Building supply retailers such as Home Depot and Lowe’s Home Improvement have seen a huge spike in sales in building materials and accessories this spring.  According to New Orleans City Business, “Homebuilders broke ground on more houses and apartment complexes in April, a sign that they’re gearing up for more sales. The annual pace of housing starts jumped 20.2 percent from March to 1.14 million, the highest rate since November 2007, a month before the recession began. There was also a 10.1 percent increase in

approved building permits, which suggests that construction levels should continue to improve.”
With an upward turn in the housing market, a new home building project which was put on hold during the market crash in 2008 is now resurfacing. The Oak Alley Meadows development in Covington, LA near the intersection of Orchard and Dominic Drives went before the Covington Zoning Commission May 18, 2015 and was approved.

Lonesome Development is the developer which is interested in annexing the land in North Covington for the neighborhood development project.  The 87-acre tract of land under discussion will include both residential and commercial new construction.  Plans for this new subdivision in St. Tammany Parish include 205 single-family lots and two commercial sites. The developer will use 80.4 acres of the land for homesites to build new homes and 6.7 acres of the land for the commercial development. The plan is to build the development in four phases.

Even though it is adjacent to the land that is currently in the final phases of lot development at Oak Alley Subdivision, the new Oak Alley Meadows development is a separate community from the current Oak Alley.  DSLD Homes is building the final new homes for sale in this community and once it is completed, there will be a total of 300 newly built homes.


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