2023 Housing Market Predictions

 There is light at the end of the tunnel hopefully for potential homebuyers. According to professionals in the industry, the trends are shooting toward more affordability.

“Americans finding ways to make payments on a roof over their heads will drive the market next year,” says Zillow chief economist Skylar Olsen. “Affordability is going to be the biggest factor in housing for 2023, but there’s room for optimism on that front if mortgage rates recede.”

Those in the industry have five housing market predictions for 2023.

1. Housing affordability will improve slightly

Those in the industry say there are signs of both the home inventory and monthly mortgage cost will stabilize. Home values should not go down, but they will not keep skyrocketing to space. In fact, national home prices are predicted to remain flat, and they may even fall in some areas.

Inflation is showing some signs of easing up and mortgage rates are starting to also dip. The mortgage rates will continue to go up and down which can cause stress to the housing market.

2. The Midwest will grow in demand

The Midwest has not seen the home price increases like many of the other regions in the US. Professionals believe that this will attract homebuyers to the Midwest. Places like Iowa, Missouri, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio have more affordable homes.

The mortgage-to-income ratios in many Midwest cities such as St. Louis, Missouri, and Toledo, Ohio, make them the perfect place for first-time homebuyers. There are also more sellers willing to list right now in these areas which mean there is more inventory than in most regions.

3. More friends and family will buy homes together

According to Zillow, 18% of homebuyers have purchased with a friend or a relative who was not a spouse. Buying with someone else helps with your debt-to-income ratio and helps with a larger down payment. The seller’s market has pushed buyers into thinking creatively.

4. New construction buyers may have more choice — and even bargains

Builders’ sentiment is rising and it is leading to more homes being built. A rise in new construction can mean better discounts for potential home buyers. It is reported that new homes under construction are up 50% since February 2020.

5. More homeowners may leverage their home as a source of income

Rental prices are rising higher right now than home values. This means that your home could net you income by renting it. Your rental income will more than likely be higher than your mortgage payment.

In a 2021 survey of home buyers, one-third said they were purchasing just to rent out the home. The record low mortgage rates in 2020 and 2021 made it easier to purchase second homes as income producers. If you are worried about finding a renter for a home, Zillow Rental Manager is your solution. Zillow Rental Manager allows you to screen tenants and collect rent payments. You can post your rental online and on the app for free.

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Private Residential Construction Spending Up

The NAHB analysis of Census Construction Spending reported a 1.1 increase in total private residential construction spending in December 2021. November 2021 also reported an increase of 0.7%, in fact, total private residential construction spending was 15% higher than reported at the same time last year. Spending was reported at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $810.3 billion.

The growth rates are due to the solid growth of spending on single-family and multifamily construction. Monthly gains in single-family construction rose 2.1% to a $435 billion annual pace in December 2021. As for multifamily construction, there was a 0.4% increase in December 2021. Spending was a little down because of the supply chain issues and labor shortages.

Private nonresidential construction spending stayed steady during December 2021. The data shows that the spending was 9.1% higher than a year ago. As far as the separate spending in each category was $0.49 billion in office, $0.4 billion in amusement and recreation and $0.37 billion in lodging.

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Reform of the Housing Finance System a Top Priority

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) created a white paper in 2012 called “A Comprehensive Framework for Housing Finance System Reform” which recommended utilizing both public and private sources of housing capital to keep the current federal government housing agencies. Recently NAHB has amended the 2012 white paper regarding the advancing of housing finance so there will be a secure and strong national financial market, job market and economic growth.

This is important when it comes to the housing market.  Without housing finance there would be no reason for new

developments and construction of new housing around the country. The home building industry is dependent on the housing finance system. One of the biggest hindrances mentioned in the white paper are the credit challenges home builders and home buyers are still facing that stemmed from the Great Recession.

The white paper clearly defines the importance of federal government support within the new system but limits the extent of the federal government’s duties. Conventional mortgages will be supported by private capital and a privately funded, mortgage-backed insurance fund with a federal government backstop to ensure it will be covered in case of a cataclysmic occurrence such as what happened in 2008.  Now the housing finance will be more private-sector with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac transforming into a private-sector oriented system.

NAHB has challenged Congress and federal regulators to redefine housing finance reform because every American should have a decent place to live as stated in The Housing Act of 1949. 

Homeownership is one of the best financial decisions one could make and proves to be a stable investment. It provides solid jobs for Americans through home building and manufacturing products used in construction.  Hopefully these steps and challenges will reduce the risk that America will be hit by another Great Recession.

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The Opportunity to Learn Construction Skills for Students in St. Tammany Parish

World Changers, an entity of LifeWay Student Ministries, provides mission experiences for students looking to serve others and share the gospel.  By interacting with churches in different communities throughout the United States, students have the opportunity to learn construction skills such as sheetrock, painting, siding, roofing, windows & doors repair or replacement, interior repair / renovation projects, wheelchair ramps, fencing, landscaping, and

disaster cleanup.  They also learn leadership skills which will help them with not only future mission trips but also future education and professional opportunities. The

World Changers program began in 1990 and has expanded to 67 North American locations as well as international locations.  In 2011, World Changers  became a part of LifeWay Student Ministries which expanded the number of students involved as well as the church networking opportunities.
World Changers along with Northshore Baptist Association, Southern Baptist Association, Kent Design+Build and the St. Tammany Parish government will aid in this year’s project in St. Tammany Parish. A federal grant through the Community Development Block Grant program will be used to purchase $30,000.00 in lumber, paint, doors, windows and all other materials needed for the volunteers to get the job done.
This is the 4th year in a row that volunteers from around the country will repair and fix up homes for low and moderate income home owning families in St. Tammany Parish. Twelve homes in the community were chosen via an application process and the majority of the homeowners are disabled and/or elderly.


The 150 volunteer teens and adults from around the country will be housed at First Baptist Church in Covington. The volunteers’ week of construction work such as painting, scraping, demo and repair of these homes.

“We welcome the World Changers group back to St. Tammany. They have made such a difference in so many people’s lives over the past four years, and we cannot thank them enough,” St. Tammany Parish President Pat Brister said. “Collaborative efforts like these between public, private and faith-based organizations, make our community stronger, improve our quality of life, and benefit everyone involved.”

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Habitat for Humanity’s National Women Build Week in Mandeville

Habitat for Humanity’s National Women Build Week is an annual event held every year the week before Mother’s day where women across America join together to help build new homes in poverty stricken communities. The women’s comradery and the blessing of each other’s company made this week’s event a huge success. Since the program began, more than 2,300 homes have been built with

the help of National Women Build Week. This year, Habitat for Humanity was joined by the local St. Tammany Parish Lowe’s Home Improvement which donated close to $2 million to the week-long event.

You do not have to be a builder to volunteer. Both Habitat for Humanity and Lowe’s encourage women to volunteer for a day to not only gain new construction skills but to make a difference in the lives of new homeowners living in St. Tammany Parish. These volunteers impact the lives of many families by providing them the chance at owning a newly built home. Volunteers are not only giving their time to a good cause, they themselves are learning the ins and outs of new home construction which gives them new confidence in being able to handle small construction projects on their own utilizing their building education. Lowe’s’ how-to clinics also assist in giving women the opportunity to learn the necessary skills for the volunteer jobs.

As a “life skills” learning experience, as well as an achievement and self-confidence booster for the new homeowners who get to live in the homes built by Habitat for Humanity, the construction of their new home offers a valuable life lesson as well. The project requires that they take pride in their new home by putting in their own time, energy, and effort into the building project. New homeowners are required to put in 300 – 400 hours of time in not only building their own home but also other Habitat for Humanity homes as well. During National Women Build Week, the focus is on the challenges and obstacles poverty-stricken women face when trying to reach the goal of home ownership.

More than 15,000 women volunteered during National Women Build Week May 2-10 across America. Of those 15,000 women, more than 25 volunteers, along with Habitat for Humanity St. Tammany West, and Lowe’s Home Improvement (which contributed financially with a $5,000 Lowe’s gift card to Habitat for Humanity St. Tammany West) helped with the building of seven houses in the Mandeville affordable housing community just north of Florida Street in Old Mandeville. The seven new homes under construction will be dedicated to the home buyers in June and October of 2015.

Parish President Pat Brister, who was among those that volunteered, said, “Over 400 children have grown up and/or are currently living in Habitat St. Tammany West homes. That’s 400 children that now have a safe and stable home to grow up in.” This new home construction project brought life changing education as well as shelter for residents of Mandeville, Louisiana, in St. Tammany Parish.


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