Among these sale price drops seen in the past nine months, rising mortgage rates and high prices are two of the catalysts of the current situation. Buyers are getting fed up with this and are backing out of the housing market.
The National Association of Realtors reported that sales that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops are down 28.4% from October 2021. Every region in the country saw a decline. This is the longest decline seen in home sales since 1999.
Home sales have been the weakest we have seen since May 2020 during the height of the pandemic. Current homeowners are not wanting to sell because of the uncertainty in the market. This is keeping the inventory low which is not helpful.
October reported 1.22 million units for sale. This is down from the month before and a year before. Currently, it would take only 3.3 months to get through what is currently on the market. A balanced market has around 4 to 6 months of supply. “Inventory levels are still tight, which is why some homes for sale are still receiving multiple offers,” Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist added.
Yun also reports that household incomes have not risen enough to keep up with home prices. “First-time buyers are really struggling with high prices, the high bar to get into the market and high mortgage rates,” Yun says.
“This is why more new home construction is needed, as well as more rehabilitation of disused buildings into residential units,” said Yun, noting that while construction of apartment buildings remains robust, single-family starts are below one year ago and well below historical averages.
“In the meantime, mortgage rates are falling from the peak levels of last month and the gate is opening for more homebuyers to qualify for a mortgage.”
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