Friday, October 25, 2024

Second Home Areas’ Share in U.S. Housing Construction

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reports that in the second quarter of 2024, second home areas accounted for 17.5% of single-family and 8.6% of multifamily construction. Recent NAHB research shows there are approximately 6.5 million second homes in the U.S., making up 4.6% of the total housing stock. For this analysis, "second home areas" are defined as counties where second homes represent more than 10.3% of the total housing stock, placing them in the top 25% of counties nationwide. A total of 788 counties fall into this category.

Single-Family Construction Trends

The market share of single-family construction in second home areas has increased by more than four percentage points over the past nine years. In the fourth quarter of 2015, second home areas had a 13.2% share of the single-family market, which rose to 17.5% by the second quarter of 2024. This figure is slightly lower than its peak of 18.3% in the first quarter of 2023.

The growth rate for single-family construction in second home areas hit its highest point in the third quarter of 2021, reaching 38.5%. The first decline in growth was recorded in the third quarter of 2022, followed by five consecutive quarters of decreases until early 2024. Between late 2015 and mid-2024, single-family construction in second home areas had an average growth rate of 9.1%, compared to 5.1% in non-second home areas.

Multifamily Construction Trends

While smaller, the multifamily market share in second home areas has also grown, rising from 5.5% in late 2015 to 8.6% in mid-2024—an increase of 3.1 percentage points. However, growth has been less consistent than in the single-family sector, with several periods of decline, including in 2017, early 2021, and the start of 2024. The most recent data shows an 11.8% drop in growth, down from a peak growth rate of 53.1% in the third quarter of 2022, indicating a slowdown in multifamily construction nationwide.

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