Summer Mortgage Rates Stir the Housing Market into Motion

Even small movements in mortgage rates are creating ripples across the housing market this summer. During the week ending July 4, homebuyers jumped at the chance to lock in lower rates, driving a 9 percent surge in mortgage applications for home purchases compared to the previous week. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), this spike also marked a 25 percent increase from the same week in 2023—a clear signal that buyers are paying close attention to rate trends.

Mortgage applications are often a preview of upcoming homebuying activity, and these numbers show just how sensitive today's market is to even slight changes in borrowing costs. Joel Kan, MBA's deputy chief economist, credits this renewed buyer demand to a mix of growing housing inventory and a slowing pace of home price growth. Meanwhile, current homeowners took advantage of the brief dip in rates to refinance, with refinance applications jumping 56 percent year-over-year.

However, the window for lower rates did not stay open for long. As of the week ending July 10, rates began climbing again following a stronger-than-expected jobs report. Freddie Mac's latest data shows the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage has ticked up to 6.72 percent from 6.67 percent the previous week. That is still lower than the 6.89 percent average from a year ago, but the upward movement signals volatility ahead.

Freddie Mac's chief economist Sam Khater noted that despite affordability challenges, homebuyers and those looking to refinance are reacting quickly when rates decline. This week's mortgage rate increases came after five straight weeks of drops, showing just how quickly market dynamics can shift.

One notable trend is the decreasing size of the average mortgage loan. The MBA reports that the average loan amount for a home purchase has dropped to $432,600, the lowest level since January. This suggests buyers are either opting for more modest homes or that pricing pressures may be softening in some markets.

Here's how national mortgage rates stack up this week, according to Freddie Mac:

30-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.72 percent, up from last week's 6.67 percent. One year ago, the rate was 6.89 percent.

15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 5.86 percent, up from 5.80 percent last week. At the same time last year, the average was 6.17 percent.

While rates remain high by historical standards, even slight improvements are enough to draw buyers and homeowners off the sidelines. As we move deeper into the summer market, the key question is whether rates will stabilize, rise again, or dip just enough to keep this momentum going. For now, one thing is clear—buyers are watching the market closely and are ready to act when the numbers make sense.

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