Is Today’s Current Housing Market A Challenge Or An Opportunity For Homebuyers?

COVID-19 caused havoc on the housing market, especially due to health scares and stay-at-home orders.  During the pandemic home buyers were up against low home inventory which caused bidding wars.  Even though we are still seeing these challenges, many professionals in the industry say they are now a buyer’s opportunity.  In today’s current the inventory is still low but buyers are not as eager due to the higher mortgage rates. 

The low inventory is still a challenge because of underbuilding since the market crash in 2008. The current moderating of demand is slowing the pace of home sales which is starting to even out so builders are able to catch back up. For the buyer, this means there are more options to choose from.  Good news, as this will also lead to fewer and fewer bidding wars as home buyers have more options.  According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR) Realtors Confidence Index bidding wars are letting up month-over-month.   The average number of homes sold between April 2022 – June 2022 are as follows: April 5.5, May 4.2 and June 3.4.   Those that have been outbid for the past two years can see the light at the end of the tunnel.

If you are in the market for a new home, it is still a good idea to consult with a local sales agent who can guide you through the process.  With an agent, you will definitely make the strongest and best offer upfront.  Partnering with a real estate agent will just ramp up your home buying experience.

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Holiday Spending Will Be Backed by the Rising Consumer Confidence This Year

 

The COVID-19 vaccines are helping to get Americans back out into the physical consumer world. Even with the supply chain problems and rocket high inflation, consumers are still planning on spending the bucks this holiday season.

The Consumer Confidence Index saw a rise in the third quarter of 2021 to 113.8 points. The level seen this October was the highest level seen since July 2021. American's mindset also rose for future consumer spending. Many see purchasing a house car and major appliances before the year-end.

Close to 50% of those surveyed are planning on taking a vacation in the next six months. This is the highest level we have seen before the pandemic.

"While short-term inflation concerns rose to a 13-year high, the impact on confidence was muted," said Lynn Franco, The Conference Board's senior director of economic indicators.

In a nutshell, Americans are not fazed by price inflation. Luckily this is pushing the labor market to recover. It will be a while before consumers get fed up with the price inflations.

"And most of that is due to the job market," said Jennifer Lee, senior economist at BMO. "And though the share of those respondents finding that jobs are plentiful slipped a bit this month, the share of those who find that jobs are hard to get fell even more."

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The National Association of Home Builders' HBGI Find Surprising Results

 

The quarterly NAHB Home Building Geography Index (HBGI), released the first of this month, shows that home building throughout the country has increased in areas with the shortest commute times.  The HBGI also shows the suburban shift in new home construction to low density, low cost markets stemming largely from the COVID-19 pandemic and first reported in the second quarter of 2020 continued into 2021.

“The first quarter HBGI indicates that home building not only continued to overperform in lower cost markets like suburbs and exurbs, but also expanded the most rapidly for single-family and multifamily construction in areas with the shortest commutes,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “As workplaces increasingly adopt hybrid work models for roughly 30-40% of the American workforce, renters and buyers will have increased market power to minimize travel times and reduce both housing and transportation cost burdens.”

Nationwide the average commute is around 26 minutes. For single-family homes, this quarter construction growth rose in areas with the shortest commuting times. The index data showed a four-quarter moving average year-over-year growth rates of 22.2%.

The study discovered that for single-family home building there was an 18% decrease from the first quarter of 2021 in the market share for large metro core counties. The data found an increase from 17.2% to 17.9% in outlying counties of large or small metro areas.

“With the shift to telework brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic, housing demand continued to show the strongest gains in lower density markets in the first quarter as people have flexibility to live further out and even outside some metro areas,” said NAHB Chairman Chuck Fowke. “Given the regulatory burdens and lack of lots in higher density, higher cost markets, builders are better able to meet demand in suburban, exurban and rural areas because of the lower cost to build.”

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